Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#184
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#174
Pace73.6#56
Improvement-4.2#322

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#214
Improvement-0.5#209

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#162
Improvement-3.7#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2013 251   @ East Tennessee St. W 71-63 53%     1 - 0 +6.0 -4.0 +10.0
  Nov 15, 2013 40   @ Xavier L 56-79 9%     1 - 1 -9.5 -14.1 +5.7
  Nov 17, 2013 232   Marshall W 102-94 OT 71%     2 - 1 +1.1 +1.8 -2.7
  Nov 19, 2013 303   @ Northern Kentucky W 74-61 69%     3 - 1 +6.5 -6.2 +12.5
  Nov 22, 2013 11   @ UCLA L 70-81 4%     3 - 2 +7.8 +4.5 +3.3
  Nov 24, 2013 139   @ Nevada W 63-58 28%     4 - 2 +9.7 -7.3 +17.2
  Nov 28, 2013 283   Chattanooga W 88-75 71%     5 - 2 +5.9 +9.6 -4.0
  Nov 29, 2013 261   Gardner-Webb L 82-86 OT 66%     5 - 3 -9.5 -2.0 -7.1
  Dec 02, 2013 145   Wright St. W 74-69 50%     6 - 3 +3.8 +0.1 +3.4
  Dec 04, 2013 75   @ Southern Miss L 60-74 15%     6 - 4 -4.3 -7.6 +2.9
  Dec 15, 2013 201   Bowling Green L 61-67 64%     6 - 5 -11.0 -11.5 +0.9
  Dec 19, 2013 241   South Dakota W 120-83 72%     7 - 5 +29.8 +22.8 +0.7
  Dec 23, 2013 16   @ Tennessee L 67-82 5%     7 - 6 +2.3 +1.3 +1.4
  Jan 02, 2014 289   @ SIU Edwardsville W 70-63 66%     8 - 6 1 - 0 +1.4 -12.3 +13.1
  Jan 04, 2014 299   @ Eastern Illinois W 85-77 69%     9 - 6 2 - 0 +1.8 -4.3 +4.8
  Jan 11, 2014 144   Eastern Kentucky L 65-76 50%     9 - 7 2 - 1 -12.2 -9.6 -3.0
  Jan 16, 2014 234   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-67 71%     10 - 7 3 - 1 +6.1 -4.9 +10.2
  Jan 18, 2014 320   Tennessee Martin W 82-75 88%     11 - 7 4 - 1 -7.0 -11.2 +3.5
  Jan 23, 2014 121   @ Belmont L 66-80 25%     11 - 8 4 - 2 -8.1 -0.6 -9.0
  Jan 25, 2014 290   @ Tennessee St. W 80-74 OT 66%     12 - 8 5 - 2 +0.4 +5.6 -4.9
  Jan 29, 2014 121   Belmont L 73-76 44%     12 - 9 5 - 3 -2.6 -0.3 -2.4
  Feb 01, 2014 309   Jacksonville St. W 65-54 85%     13 - 9 6 - 3 -1.4 -7.7 +7.2
  Feb 08, 2014 144   @ Eastern Kentucky W 86-79 29%     14 - 9 7 - 3 +11.4 +9.9 +1.3
  Feb 13, 2014 309   @ Jacksonville St. W 69-67 71%     15 - 9 8 - 3 -4.9 -5.5 +0.6
  Feb 15, 2014 275   @ Tennessee Tech W 79-53 58%     16 - 9 9 - 3 +22.6 +5.3 +17.5
  Feb 19, 2014 292   Austin Peay W 90-88 2OT 83%     17 - 9 10 - 3 -9.3 -5.2 -4.4
  Feb 22, 2014 167   @ Murray St. L 58-69 35%     17 - 10 10 - 4 -8.2 -6.7 -3.1
  Feb 27, 2014 290   Tennessee St. L 68-70 83%     17 - 11 10 - 5 -13.2 -7.2 -6.1
  Mar 01, 2014 275   Tennessee Tech L 84-91 77%     17 - 12 10 - 6 -16.0 +0.8 -16.2
  Mar 06, 2014 275   Tennessee Tech W 76-61 68%     18 - 12 +8.8 -3.8 +11.8
  Mar 07, 2014 121   Belmont L 63-86 34%     18 - 13 -19.9 -9.2 -11.8
Projected Record 18.0 - 13.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%